Assessments
Time-bound predictions under active review, including assessments that reached horizon and still need a final human resolution.
Time-bound predictions under active review, including assessments that reached horizon and still need a final human resolution.
Public note
For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.
H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b will establish sustained cattle-to-cattle transmission in at least 3 US states by Q2 2026.
At least one confirmed human H5N1 case with no direct poultry contact will be reported by a T1 source before July 2026.
Autochthonous dengue transmission will be reported in at least 2 Southern European countries during the 2026 season.
NDM-producing Enterobacterales prevalence in European ICUs will exceed 5% in EARS-Net 2026 data.
Mpox clade Ib will be confirmed in at least 2 East African countries outside the DRC by April 2026.
SARS-CoV-2 JN.1 sublineage wastewater signals will decline below 2025 baseline in the US by March 2026.