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Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
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Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Geographic Spreadactive

Autochthonous dengue transmission will be reported in at least 2 Southern European countries during the 2026 season.

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Moderate confidence

Confidence in this assessment
48%+6%

The evidence is meaningful, but there is still material uncertainty. Based on 12 linked evidence items and assessed against Oct 31, 2026.

Confidence trend

Up 6 pts from the previous update

Assessed through Oct 31, 2026·12 linked evidence items·Tracking since Mar 1, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

autochthonousdengueEurope

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Mar 1, 2026.

T02
T14
T23
T32
T41
▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

e7c2a35f6b8d9e0f1a2b3c4d5e6f7a8b9c0d1e2f3a4b5c6d7e8f9a0b1c2d3e4

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.