Epi CanaryEpi Canary
  • Home
  • Feed
  • Synthesis
  • Assessments
  • Scopes
  • Reliability
  • Sources
Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
Arcede logoMade by Arcede

Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Resistance Emergenceactive

NDM-producing Enterobacterales prevalence in European ICUs will exceed 5% in EARS-Net 2026 data.

Expert-submitted assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Emerging confidence

Confidence in this assessment
31%+3%

There are early indications, but the picture is not yet stable. Based on 9 linked evidence items and assessed against Mar 1, 2027.

Confidence trend

Up 3 pts from the previous update

Assessed through Mar 1, 2027·9 linked evidence items·Tracking since Feb 15, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Threshold

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Threshold

gt 5

Numeric condition required for threshold-based resolution.

Required terms

NDMEnterobacteralesEurope

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Feb 15, 2026.

T03
T13
T22
T31
▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

f8d3b46a7c9e0f1a2b3c4d5e6f7a8b9c0d1e2f3a4b5c6d7e8f9a0b1c2d3e4f5

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.