Epi CanaryEpi Canary
  • Home
  • Feed
  • Synthesis
  • Assessments
  • Scopes
  • Reliability
  • Sources
Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
Arcede logoMade by Arcede

Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Novel Pathogen Detectionactive

Candida auris clinical cases reported to CDC will exceed 12,000 cumulative by end of 2026 (from 7,700+ confirmed Jan 2026), with echinocandin resistance proportion exceeding 5% nationally. CDC Feb 2026 study confirms "substantial antifungal resistance"; C. auris spreading through NY/NJ/MI hospital networks (CBS Jan 2026, MLive Dec 2025).

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Substantial confidence

Confidence in this assessment
70%

Multiple lines of evidence are aligned, though the assessment remains provisional. Based on 1 linked evidence item and assessed against Dec 31, 2026.

Assessed through Dec 31, 2026·1 linked evidence item·Tracking since Apr 20, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

echinocandinsubstantialcumulativeresistance

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Apr 20, 2026.

T21
▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

06

Scope synthesis

The current analyst narrative for this scope.

Open synthesis →

AMR evidence pipeline severely constrained this cycle; two hypotheses resolve Apr 27 without confirmatory data; PubMed failure and stale secondary connectors limit incident coverage.

C. auris trajectory on prior data; no new 2026 CDC count

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

1 linked item.

CANDIDA AURIS US ANTIFUNGAL RESISTANCE — CDC FEBRUARY 2026 Title: "Candida auris Antifungal Res

Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 1 tracked assessment.

T2https://www.cdc.gov/candida-auris/data-research/index.htmlsupports
Apr 20, 2026

Integrity anchor

Brier 0.202

19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.

Mirror replication is delayed on 1 of 3 tables. Showing last replicated data.