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Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
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Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Novel Pathogen Detectionactive

The updated PASTEUR Act (reintroduced in US Congress February 2026 per CIDRAP 2026-02-09) will NOT be signed into law by 2027-01-15, leaving the subscription-style payment model for novel antimicrobials unfunded despite escalating large-pharma exit from antibiotic R&D (statnews 2026-03-10 "Large drugmakers are developing fewer antibiotics") and growing pipeline gap (CIDRAP Mar 11 2026 "spots of progress in challenging landscape").

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Substantial confidence

Confidence in this assessment
70%

Multiple lines of evidence are aligned, though the assessment remains provisional. Based on 0 linked evidence items and assessed against 270D.

Assessed through 270D·0 linked evidence items·Tracking since Apr 20, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

subscription-styleantimicrobialsreintroducedlarge-pharma

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Apr 20, 2026.

▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

06

Scope synthesis

The current analyst narrative for this scope.

Open synthesis →

AMR evidence coverage critically degraded this cycle; two hypotheses resolve in 5 days without supporting data; PubMed failure is the primary bottleneck.

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.

Integrity anchor

Brier 0.202

19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.

Mirror replication is delayed on 2 of 3 tables. Showing last replicated data. Data may be stale.