WHO will issue a Disease Outbreak News (DON) specifically addressing Clade IIb community transmission in Southeast Asia (Cambodia + Singapore dual-node) by June 30, 2026, given confirmed community chains in two high-connectivity countries within the same region and the active global PHEIC context.

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Substantial confidence

Confidence in this assessment

60%

Multiple lines of evidence are aligned, though the assessment remains provisional. Based on 0 linked evidence items and assessed against Jun 30, 2026.

Assessed through Jun 30, 20260 linked evidence itemsTracking since Apr 14, 2026

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

high-connectivityspecificallytransmissionaddressing

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Apr 14, 2026.

Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

Integrity anchor

Brier 0.202

19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.

Scope synthesis

The current analyst narrative for this scope.

Open synthesis →

Clade Ib European multi-mode transmission ongoing; new research confirms MPXV replication in vaginal/ectocervical cells, strengthening non-sexual mucosal route concern.

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.