Broader transmission of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV – Global situation. Multiple modes of transmis
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Public note
For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.
System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.
Moderate confidence
The evidence is meaningful, but there is still material uncertainty. Based on 6 linked evidence items and assessed against 120D.
02
The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.
Method
The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.
Minimum source quality
Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.
Required terms
healthcare-associatedtransmissionhigh-incomenon-african03
Tracking since Apr 20, 2026.
06
The current analyst narrative for this scope.
Africa CDC Outbreak Brief 26 confirms multi-country Africa Clade Ib burden; MPXV female genital tract replication study reinforces multi-mode transmission plausibility for Clade Ib non-sexual spread hypotheses.
MPXV vaginal/ectocervical cell replication study adds biological plausibility to non-sexual route
07
6 linked items.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Integrity anchor
Brier 0.202
19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.