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Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
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Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Novel Pathogen Detectionactive

Uganda Sudan Virus Disease outbreak (Africa CDC Brief 15, Apr 2026) will include ≥1 confirmed healthcare worker case, indicating nosocomial amplification within the initial cluster.

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Substantial confidence

Confidence in this assessment
60%

Multiple lines of evidence are aligned, though the assessment remains provisional. Based on 0 linked evidence items and assessed against 90D.

Assessed through 90D·0 linked evidence items·Tracking since Apr 20, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

amplificationhealthcareindicatingnosocomial

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Apr 20, 2026.

▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

06

Scope synthesis

The current analyst narrative for this scope.

Open synthesis →

Nigeria Lassa fever trajectory remains critical at confidence 8; Sudan Virus Disease Uganda declared over; Burundi mystery cluster etiology still unresolved.

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.

Mirror replication is delayed on 2 of 3 tables. Showing last replicated data. Data may be stale.

Integrity anchor

Brier 0.202

19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.