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Epi Canary — Epidemic IntelligenceEvidence-led epidemic intelligence. Source-attributed evidence.
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Public note

For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.

Novel Pathogen Detectionactive

USDA or peer-reviewed publication will document within-herd H5N1 transmission in US dairy cattle attributable to semen-route exposure (confirmed via epidemiological linkage or experimental inoculation) within 120 days of the Apr 21 2026 tri-state semen RNA announcement.

System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.

Moderate confidence

Confidence in this assessment
40%

The evidence is meaningful, but there is still material uncertainty. Based on 0 linked evidence items and assessed against 120D.

Assessed through 120D·0 linked evidence items·Tracking since Apr 22, 2026

02

How this assessment will be evaluated

The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.

Automated

Method

Evidence Match

The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.

Minimum source quality

T1Primary Institutional

Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.

Required terms

epidemiologicalpeer-reviewedtransmissionattributable

03

Evidence quality mix

Tracking since Apr 22, 2026.

▸Integrity referencesCryptographic hashes for verification

Registration

06

Scope synthesis

The current analyst narrative for this scope.

Open synthesis →

H5N1 semen-transmission hypothesis approaches Apr 28 resolution with no confirming data; Cambodia YTD at 4 cases; connector coverage impaired.

No USDA follow-up study in evidence stream

07

Evidence linked to this assessment

0 linked items.

No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.

Integrity anchor

Brier 0.202

19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.