Broader transmission of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV – Global situation. Multiple modes of transmis
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Public note
For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.
System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.
Moderate confidence
The evidence is meaningful, but there is still material uncertainty. Based on 9 linked evidence items and assessed against 180D.
02
The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.
Method
The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.
Minimum source quality
Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.
Required terms
epidemiologicalcharacterizedspecificallytransmission03
Tracking since Apr 14, 2026.
06
The current analyst narrative for this scope.
Clade Ib multi-modal European spread continues; new research confirms MPXV replication in vaginal/ectocervical tissue, strengthening plausibility of non-sexual transmission routes.
07
9 linked items.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 14 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 15 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 2 tracked assessments.
Currently interpreted as supporting evidence for 11 tracked assessments.
This report is recorded in the evidence trail but is not yet linked to a tracked assessment.
Integrity anchor
Brier 0.202
19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.