Public note
For situational awareness and research transparency. Not medical advice.
System-generated assessment. This assessment remains under review until the stated horizon or until sufficient evidence allows evaluation.
Moderate confidence
The evidence is meaningful, but there is still material uncertainty. Based on 0 linked evidence items and assessed against 60D.
02
The criteria the system uses to determine whether this assessment is borne out by the stated horizon.
Method
The condition the system checks for when evaluating this assessment.
Minimum source quality
Evidence must meet or exceed this credibility tier to count toward evaluation.
Required terms
laboratory-confirmedhemorrhagicburundimystery03
Tracking since Apr 20, 2026.
06
The current analyst narrative for this scope.
Uganda Sudan Virus Disease outbreak declared over (Final Brief 16, Apr 20), constituting a qualifying filovirus spillover event; Nigeria Lassa and Burundi mystery illness hypotheses unchanged pending sitrep updates.
No Burundi lab confirmation yet; investigation ongoing
07
0 linked items.
No linked evidence is available for this assessment yet.
Integrity anchor
Brier 0.202
19 resolved novel pathogen detection predictions.